The Illini are 1-2 but should be 0-3, so this is a game to run your plays, play stout defense, and oil the machine ahead of Purdue next week. Illinois has played three above-average offenses in Toledo, Kansas, and Penn State, so this is an ideal -spot to back Illinois. Richardson has two years of starting experience and a nice touchdown to interception ratio (43-14), but is not mobile (-122 rushing yards) and a subpar completion percentage (59%).įAU was held to 24 combined points in the past two games versus Clemson and Ohio, which should not inspire much confidence ahead of this road game. I love this matchup for Illinois as FAU’s starting QB Casey Thompson is injured and out for the season.ĭaniel Richardson will start for the Owls and he is a former Central Michigan QB. *Odds provided by BetMGM FAU at Illinois (-14): O/U 45.5 Pick: Rutgers Team Total Under 9.5 (1.5u) I played the Scarlett Knights Team Total Under 9.5 at -115 odds. So which college football teams should you back in Week 4, and which underdogs win outright?. The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other FBS matchup, and it's calling for multiple other underdogs to win outright! The Razorbacks are covering this large spread more than 60% of the time, keeping the game closer than the betting market expects. Arkansas blew a double-digit lead in a 38-31 loss to BYU last week, but the model does not expect that loss to bleed into this performance.

The Bears are covering the spread in well over 60% of the model's simulations.Īnother prediction: Arkansas (+17.5) plays a competitive road game at No. Baylor is coming off its first win of the season, cruising to a 30-7 victory over LIU last week, while Texas failed to cover the 31-point spread in its 31-10 win over Wyoming. One of the college picks the model is high on during Week 3: Baylor (+17) easily stays within the spread against No. Now, it has studied the latest college football odds (see the latest college football lines for each matchup this week on our college football odds page), simulated every single play for every Week 4 game, and the results are in.

College football week 4 betting lines